1999 NFL Linear Regression Power Ratings

FINAL RATINGS --- Updated Through SUPER BOWL XXXIV

Rank	Team	Rating	HF	Home	Road
1	St Louis	112.36	-1.8	111.46	113.26
2	Jacksonville	108.71	0.7	109.06	108.36
3	Kansas City	106.58	2.7	107.93	105.23
4	Oakland	106.44	-0.6	106.14	106.74
5	Buffalo	105.90	-0.5	105.65	106.15
6	Indianapolis	105.06	0.8	105.46	104.66
7	Minnesota	104.74	0.5	104.99	104.49
8	Tennessee	104.10	0.2	104.20	104.00
9	Seattle	103.81	1.6	104.61	103.01
10	Denver	103.01	2.4	104.21	101.81
11	Washington	102.83	1.7	103.68	101.98
12	Tampa Bay	102.77	0.4	102.97	102.57
13	N Y Jets	102.21	1.5	102.96	101.46
14	Baltimore	101.95	0.3	102.10	101.80
15	Dallas	101.75	1.3	102.40	101.10
16	Green Bay	101.38	1.2	101.98	100.78
17	New England	101.37	0.9	101.82	100.92
18	Detroit	101.09	2.4	102.29	99.89
19	Carolina	99.51	0.3	99.66	99.36
20	Miami	99.01	1.6	99.81	98.21
21	Pittsburgh	98.65	4.2	100.75	96.55
22	San Diego	98.64	-0.2	98.54	98.74
23	Chicago	97.83	1.1	98.38	97.28
24	N Y Giants	96.54	1.2	97.14	95.94
25	Philadelphia	95.14	0.0	95.14	95.14
26	Atlanta	93.62	1.3	94.27	92.97
27	Arizona	90.59	2.3	91.74	89.44
28	Cincinnati	89.53	1.2	90.13	88.93
29	San Francisco	89.41	-1.4	88.71	90.11
30	New Orleans	88.52	-2.8	87.12	89.92
31	Cleveland	86.96	0.0	86.96	86.96
	NFL Average	100.00	0.8	100.40	99.60

1999 NFL Aver Line Played Against Power Ratings

FINAL RATINGS --- Updated Through SUPER BOWL XXXIV

Rank Team Rating HF Home Road

1 Jacksonville 107.18 2.7 108.51 105.85

2 St Louis 105.75 2.5 107.00 104.49

3 Minnesota 105.45 2.9 106.89 104.01

4 Green Bay 104.48 2.6 105.80 103.16

5 Indianapolis 103.21 2.7 104.58 101.85

6 Seattle 103.03 2.6 104.31 101.74

7 Buffalo 102.57 2.8 103.98 101.16

8 Tennessee 102.13 2.6 103.41 100.85

9 Washington 101.90 3.2 103.50 100.29

10 Miami 101.85 3.1 103.37 100.32

11 Tampa Bay 101.77 2.3 102.92 100.63

12 Dallas 101.65 2.9 103.09 100.21

13 Kansas City 101.34 3.4 103.04 99.64

Oakland 101.34 3.3 102.98 99.70

15 Denver 100.95 3.4 102.63 99.26

16 New England 100.46 3.4 102.16 98.77

17 Pittsburgh 99.86 2.3 101.02 98.69

18 N Y Jets 99.78 2.5 101.06 98.51

19 Detroit 99.52 2.8 100.90 98.14

20 Baltimore 99.32 2.0 100.35 98.30

21 Atlanta 98.72 2.4 99.93 97.51

22 Carolina 98.66 1.5 99.41 97.90

23 San Francisco 98.07 2.1 99.09 97.04

24 N Y Giants 98.00 2.9 99.45 96.54

25 San Diego 97.11 2.8 98.53 95.70

26 Chicago 96.50 3.4 98.20 94.79

27 Arizona 96.33 2.6 97.65 95.01

28 New Orleans 95.43 2.5 96.69 94.17

29 Cincinnati 94.63 2.3 95.78 93.48

30 Philadelphia 93.13 2.8 94.53 91.73

31 Cleveland 89.90 0.0 89.90 89.90

NFL Average 100.00 2.6 101.31 98.69

1999 NFL Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings

FINAL RATINGS --- Updated Through SUPER BOWL XXXIV

Rank Team Rating HF Home Road

1 St Louis 106.61 -1.8 105.71 107.51

2 Kansas City 105.24 2.7 106.59 103.89

3 Oakland 105.10 -0.6 104.80 105.40

4 Buffalo 103.33 -0.5 103.08 103.58

5 Baltimore 102.63 0.3 102.78 102.48

6 N Y Jets 102.42 1.5 103.17 101.67

7 Denver 102.07 2.4 103.27 100.87

8 Philadelphia 102.01 0.0 102.01 102.01

9 Tennessee 101.97 0.2 102.07 101.87

10 Indianapolis 101.85 0.8 102.25 101.45

11 Detroit 101.57 2.4 102.77 100.37

12 Jacksonville 101.53 0.7 101.88 101.18

San Diego 101.53 -0.2 101.43 101.63

14 Chicago 101.33 1.1 101.88 100.78

15 Tampa Bay 101.00 0.4 101.20 100.80

16 Washington 100.93 1.7 101.78 100.08

17 New England 100.90 0.9 101.35 100.45

18 Carolina 100.85 0.3 101.00 100.70

19 Seattle 100.78 1.6 101.58 99.98

20 Dallas 100.11 1.3 100.76 99.46

21 Minnesota 99.29 0.5 99.54 99.04

22 Pittsburgh 98.79 4.2 100.89 96.69

23 N Y Giants 98.54 1.2 99.14 97.94

24 Miami 97.16 1.6 97.96 96.36

25 Cleveland 97.06 0.0 97.06 97.06

26 Green Bay 96.90 1.2 97.50 96.30

27 Cincinnati 94.90 1.2 95.50 94.30

Atlanta 94.90 1.3 95.55 94.25

29 Arizona 94.26 2.3 95.41 93.11

30 New Orleans 93.10 -2.8 91.70 94.50

31 San Francisco 91.34 -1.4 90.64 92.04

NFL Average 100.00 0.8 100.40 99.60

The above Linear Regression Power Ratings are based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

The Average Line Played Against Power Ratings use a similar concept but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

The Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings also use the concept described above but do so from the perspective of how a teams has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins be 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of overachievement and underachievement by each team.

Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road Rating.

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