Logical Approach's 2025 NFL Power Ratings


2025 NFL Linear Regression Power Ratings

FINAL 2025 Overall Ratings --- Updated Through Sunday, February 8, 2026

Through NFL Week # 22 -- After Super Bowl LX (60)

Based on Game Results & Opponents Played

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1Seattle114.36-1.01113.86114.87
2L A Rams111.220.23111.33111.10
3Houston108.68-1.49107.94109.43
4Jacksonville108.502.21109.60107.39
5New England106.561.00107.06106.06
6Buffalo105.002.87106.44103.57
7Indianapolis104.992.36106.17103.81
8San Francisco104.521.61105.32103.71
9Denver103.804.24105.92101.68
10Detroit103.602.60104.90102.30
11Philadelphia102.401.28103.04101.76
12Kansas City102.040.63102.35101.72
13Baltimore101.271.64102.09100.45
14Chicago100.782.27101.9199.64
15Green Bay100.601.00101.10100.10
16Minnesota100.592.00101.5999.59
17L A Chargers100.530.48100.77100.29
18Pittsburgh99.543.85101.4697.61
19Tampa Bay98.89-0.2798.7599.02
20Atlanta97.211.7498.0896.34
21Carolina96.963.0998.5195.42
22N Y Giants96.14-0.2596.0196.26
23Dallas95.722.8597.1494.29
24Arizona95.361.3196.0194.70
25New Orleans95.120.6995.4694.77
26Cincinnati95.052.3996.2493.85
27Washington94.160.4694.3993.93
28Miami94.013.9095.9692.06
29Cleveland92.775.2495.3990.15
30Tennessee92.141.1992.7391.54
31Las Vegas89.682.2990.8388.54
32N Y Jets87.824.5990.1285.53
NFL Average100.001.78100.8999.11

2025 NFL Average Line Played Against Power Ratings

FINAL 2026 Ratings --- Updated Through Sunday, February 8, 2026

Through NFL Week # 22 -- After Super Bowl LX (60)

Based on ALPA -- Average Line Played Against

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1L A Rams105.880.23106.00105.77
2Philadelphia104.941.28105.58104.30
3Detroit104.492.60105.79103.19
4Buffalo104.432.87105.86102.99
5Seattle104.32-1.01103.82104.83
6Baltimore104.261.64105.08103.44
7Denver103.994.24106.11101.87
8Kansas City103.770.63104.08103.45
9Green Bay103.451.00103.95102.95
10Houston102.67-1.49101.93103.42
11New England101.991.00102.49101.49
12Jacksonville101.222.21102.32100.11
13L A Chargers101.200.48101.44100.96
14San Francisco100.701.61101.5099.89
15Indianapolis100.692.36101.8799.51
16Tampa Bay100.58-0.27100.45100.72
17Pittsburgh100.053.85101.9798.12
18Dallas99.952.85101.3898.53
19Minnesota99.782.00100.7898.78
20Chicago99.662.27100.7998.52
21Atlanta98.661.7499.5397.79
22Washington98.070.4698.3097.84
23Cincinnati97.942.3999.1496.75
24Arizona97.181.3197.8496.53
25Miami96.183.9098.1394.23
26N Y Giants96.12-0.2596.0096.25
27Las Vegas95.692.2996.8394.54
28Carolina95.653.0997.1994.10
29New Orleans94.980.6995.3394.64
30Cleveland94.525.2497.1491.90
31N Y Jets93.534.5995.8291.23
32Tennessee93.461.1994.0692.87
NFL Average100.001.78100.8999.11


2025 NFL Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings

FINAL 2025 Ratings --- Updated Through Sunday, February 8, 2026

Through NFL Week # 22 -- After Super Bowl LX (60)

Based on ARVL -- Average Result Vs Line

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1Seattle110.04-1.01109.54110.55
2Jacksonville107.282.21108.38106.17
3Houston106.01-1.49105.27106.76
4L A Rams105.340.23105.45105.22
5New England104.571.00105.07104.07
6Indianapolis104.302.36105.48103.12
7San Francisco103.821.61104.62103.01
8Carolina101.313.09102.8699.77
9Chicago101.122.27102.2599.98
10Minnesota100.822.00101.8299.82
11Buffalo100.572.87102.0199.14
12New Orleans100.140.69100.4899.79
13N Y Giants100.02-0.2599.89100.14
14Denver99.814.24101.9397.69
15Pittsburgh99.493.85101.4297.57
16L A Chargers99.330.4899.5799.09
17Detroit99.102.60100.4097.80
18Tennessee98.671.1999.2798.08
19Atlanta98.551.7499.4297.68
20Tampa Bay98.31-0.2798.1798.44
21Kansas City98.270.6398.5897.95
22Cleveland98.245.24100.8695.62
23Arizona98.181.3198.8397.52
24Miami97.843.9099.7995.89
25Philadelphia97.461.2898.1096.82
26Green Bay97.151.0097.6596.65
27Cincinnati97.102.3998.3095.91
28Baltimore97.021.6497.8496.20
29Washington96.090.4696.3295.86
30Dallas95.772.8597.1994.34
31N Y Jets94.294.5996.5992.00
32Las Vegas93.992.2995.1492.85
NFL Average100.001.78100.8999.11




The above Linear Regression Power Ratings are based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.


The Average Line Played Against Power Ratings use a similar concept but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.



The Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings also use the concept described above but do so from the perspective of how a teams has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins be 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of overachievement and underachievement by each team.

Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road Rating.


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