Logical Approach's 2022 NFL Power Ratings


2022 NFL Linear Regression Power Ratings

Current 2022 Overall Ratings --- Updated Through Sunday, February 12, 2023

Through NFL Week # 22 (After Super Bowl 57)

Based on Game Results & Opponents Played

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1Buffalo109.340.14109.41109.27
2Philadelphia108.942.38110.13107.75
3Cincinnati107.611.19108.20107.01
4San Francisco107.570.82107.98107.16
5Dallas107.012.81108.41105.60
6Kansas City106.59-0.71106.24106.95
7Baltimore102.74-0.01102.73102.74
8Detroit102.33-0.50102.08102.58
9Miami101.683.62103.4999.87
10New England101.621.44102.34100.90
11Jacksonville101.564.02103.5799.55
12Green Bay100.451.34101.1299.78
13N Y Jets100.352.73101.7198.98
14Minnesota99.670.73100.0499.31
15Cleveland99.652.78101.0498.26
16Washington99.440.1199.4999.38
17N Y Giants99.26-0.5099.0199.51
18Pittsburgh99.114.17101.2097.03
19Seattle99.021.4699.7598.29
20New Orleans99.00-2.5697.72100.28
21L A Chargers98.97-1.3698.2999.65
22Atlanta97.960.5998.2597.66
23Carolina97.87-1.0197.3698.37
24Tampa Bay97.46-1.5296.7098.22
25Las Vegas97.332.5698.6196.05
26Tennessee96.330.7396.6995.96
27L A Rams95.93-0.1195.8795.98
28Denver94.820.8595.2494.39
29Arizona93.90-1.9492.9394.87
30Chicago93.680.9494.1593.21
31Houston91.462.5192.7290.21
32Indianapolis91.381.8492.3090.46
NFL Average100.000.92100.4699.54

2022 NFL Average Line Played Against Power Ratings

Current 2022 Ratings --- Updated Through Sunday, February 12, 2023

Through NFL Week # 22 (After Super Bowl 57)

Based on ALPA -- Average Line Played Against

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1Buffalo107.810.14107.88107.74
2Kansas City106.64-0.71106.29107.00
3Philadelphia105.682.38106.87104.49
4San Francisco104.990.82105.40104.58
5Cincinnati104.381.19104.97103.78
6Dallas103.452.81104.85102.04
7Tampa Bay103.21-1.52102.45103.97
8Green Bay102.391.34103.06101.72
9Baltimore102.14-0.01102.13102.14
10Minnesota101.640.73102.00101.27
11Miami101.323.62103.1399.51
12L A Chargers100.48-1.3699.80101.16
13New England100.201.44100.9299.48
14Cleveland99.872.78101.2698.48
15New Orleans99.66-2.5698.38100.94
16Las Vegas99.582.56100.8698.30
17L A Rams99.46-0.1199.4199.52
18Denver99.130.8599.5598.70
19Washington98.360.1198.4198.30
20Seattle98.211.4698.9497.48
21Pittsburgh97.924.17100.0195.84
22N Y Jets97.832.7399.2096.47
23Atlanta97.720.5998.0197.42
24Detroit97.70-0.5097.4597.95
25Indianapolis97.641.8498.5696.72
26Jacksonville97.534.0299.5495.52
27Tennessee97.420.7397.7997.06
28Arizona97.09-1.9496.1298.06
29N Y Giants96.58-0.5096.3396.83
30Carolina96.24-1.0195.7496.75
31Chicago95.560.9496.0395.09
32Houston92.172.5193.4290.91
NFL Average100.000.92100.4699.54


2022 NFL Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings

FINAL 2022 Ratings --- Updated Through Sunday, February 12, 2023

Through NFL Week # 22 (After Super Bowl 57)

Based on ARVL -- Average Result Vs Line

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1Detroit104.63-0.50104.38104.88
2Jacksonville104.034.02106.04102.02
3Dallas103.562.81104.96102.15
4Philadelphia103.252.38104.44102.06
5Cincinnati103.231.19103.82102.63
6N Y Giants102.68-0.50102.43102.93
7San Francisco102.580.82102.99102.17
8N Y Jets102.522.73103.88101.15
9Carolina101.62-1.01101.12102.13
10Buffalo101.520.14101.59101.45
11New England101.431.44102.15100.71
12Pittsburgh101.194.17103.2799.10
13Washington101.080.11101.14101.03
14Seattle100.801.46101.53100.07
15Baltimore100.60-0.01100.59100.60
16Miami100.363.62102.1798.55
17Atlanta100.240.59100.5399.94
18Kansas City99.95-0.7199.60100.31
19Cleveland99.782.78101.1798.39
20New Orleans99.34-2.5698.06100.62
21Houston99.302.51100.5598.04
22Tennessee98.910.7399.2798.54
23L A Chargers98.49-1.3697.8199.17
24Chicago98.120.9498.5997.65
25Green Bay98.061.3498.7397.39
26Minnesota98.030.7398.4097.67
27Las Vegas97.762.5699.0496.48
28Arizona96.81-1.9495.8497.78
29L A Rams96.46-0.1196.4196.52
30Denver95.690.8596.1295.27
31Tampa Bay94.25-1.5293.4995.01
32Indianapolis93.741.8494.6692.82
NFL Average100.000.92100.4699.54




The above Linear Regression Power Ratings are based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.


The Average Line Played Against Power Ratings use a similar concept but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.



The Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings also use the concept described above but do so from the perspective of how a teams has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins be 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of overachievement and underachievement by each team.

Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road Rating.


HOME PAGE / Stats & Match-ups / Subscribers' Selections / Free Daily Selection / Future Odds
Sample Newsletters / Stuff for Sale / Power Ratings / Polls & Surveys / Articles & Features
Sports Betting Forum / Handicapping Contests / Other Resources / Commentary / How to Contact Us