Logical Approach's 2012 NFL Power Ratings


Are You Ready For Some BASKETBALL?

You Bet You Are!!!

It's time to "Lace 'em Up!" -- Click Here to learn why and how

basketball can be beaten and for subscription details for the balance of the 2012-2013 season



2012 NFL Linear Regression Power Ratings

FINAL Overall Ratings --- Updated Through Sunday, February 3, 2013 -- Through NFL Week # 21 - Super Bowl XLVII

Based on Game Results & Opponents Played

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1Seattle111.595.10114.14109.04
2New England111.551.63112.36110.73
3San Francisco110.065.62112.87107.25
4Denver110.01-1.91109.05110.96
5Atlanta106.983.36108.66105.30
6Green Bay106.822.50108.07105.57
7N Y Giants106.67-0.07106.63106.70
8Chicago106.574.14108.64104.50
9Baltimore105.623.72107.48103.76
10Washington103.690.02103.70103.68
11Houston103.213.33104.87101.54
12Minnesota102.434.13104.50100.37
13Cincinnati102.341.19102.94101.75
14New Orleans101.671.64102.49100.85
15Carolina101.021.93101.99100.06
16Dallas100.692.65102.0199.36
17Tampa Bay100.201.51100.9699.45
18St Louis99.963.63101.7898.15
19Pittsburgh99.893.86101.8297.96
20San Diego98.001.7098.8597.15
21Detroit97.343.8399.2595.42
22Miami96.971.1097.5296.42
23Arizona96.442.6497.7695.12
24Cleveland95.241.1095.7994.69
25Indianapolis94.683.7496.5592.81
26N Y Jets93.691.3194.3593.04
27Buffalo92.952.4994.2091.71
28Philadelphia91.550.4591.7891.33
29Tennessee89.641.9190.6088.69
30Oakland89.52-3.3887.8391.21
31Jacksonville86.643.3788.3284.95
32Kansas City86.35-0.5386.0986.62
NFL Average100.002.12101.0698.94

2012 NFL Average Line Played Against Power Ratings

FINAL Ratings --- Updated Through Sunday, February 3, 2013 -- Through NFL Week # 21 - Super Bowl XLVII

Based on ALPA -- Average Line Played Against

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1New England107.081.63107.89106.26
2San Francisco105.895.62108.70103.08
3Green Bay105.482.50106.73104.23
4Houston105.273.33106.93103.60
5Denver104.96-1.91104.01105.92
6N Y Giants103.55-0.07103.52103.59
7Chicago103.144.14105.21101.07
8Atlanta102.893.36104.57101.21
9Pittsburgh102.233.86104.16100.30
10Dallas102.042.65103.37100.72
11Baltimore101.823.72103.6899.96
12Seattle101.605.10104.1599.05
13New Orleans101.561.64102.38100.74
14Detroit100.813.83102.7398.90
15Cincinnati100.031.19100.6299.43
16Carolina99.831.93100.8098.87
17San Diego99.651.70100.5098.80
18Washington99.460.0299.4799.45
19Philadelphia99.090.4599.3198.86
20Minnesota98.954.13101.0196.88
21Tampa Bay98.911.5199.6698.15
22N Y Jets98.201.3198.8597.54
23Miami97.311.1097.8696.76
24Buffalo97.052.4998.2995.80
25Indianapolis96.263.7498.1394.39
26St Louis96.213.6398.0294.39
27Cleveland95.991.1096.5495.44
28Tennessee95.941.9196.8994.98
29Oakland95.86-3.3894.1797.55
30Arizona95.712.6497.0394.39
31Kansas City93.72-0.5393.4593.98
32Jacksonville93.523.3795.2191.84
NFL Average100.002.12101.0698.94


2012 NFL Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings

FINAL Ratings --- Updated Through Sunday, February 3, 2013 - Through NFL Week # 21 - Super Bowl XLVII

Based on ARVL -- Average Result Vs Line

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1Seattle109.995.10112.54107.44
2Denver105.04-1.91104.09106.00
3New England104.471.63105.29103.66
4Washington104.230.02104.24104.22
5San Francisco104.175.62106.98101.36
6Atlanta104.103.36105.78102.42
7Baltimore103.813.72105.67101.95
8St Louis103.763.63105.57101.94
9Minnesota103.494.13105.55101.42
10Chicago103.434.14105.50101.36
11N Y Giants103.12-0.07103.08103.15
12Cincinnati102.311.19102.91101.72
13Green Bay101.342.50102.59100.09
14Tampa Bay101.291.51102.05100.54
15Carolina101.191.93102.16100.23
16Arizona100.732.64102.0599.41
17New Orleans100.111.64100.9399.29
18Miami99.661.10100.2199.11
19Cleveland99.251.1099.8098.70
20Dallas98.642.6599.9797.32
21Indianapolis98.413.74100.2896.54
22San Diego98.351.7099.2097.50
23Houston97.943.3399.6096.27
24Pittsburgh97.663.8699.5995.73
25Detroit96.523.8398.4494.61
26Buffalo95.902.4997.1594.66
27N Y Jets95.491.3196.1594.84
28Tennessee93.701.9194.6692.75
29Oakland93.66-3.3891.9795.35
30Jacksonville93.123.3794.8091.43
31Kansas City92.63-0.5392.3792.90
32Philadelphia92.470.4592.6992.24
NFL Average100.002.12101.0698.94




The above Linear Regression Power Ratings are based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.


The Average Line Played Against Power Ratings use a similar concept but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.



The Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings also use the concept described above but do so from the perspective of how a teams has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins be 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of overachievement and underachievement by each team.

Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road Rating.


HOME PAGE / Stats & Match-ups / Subscribers' Selections / Free Daily Selection / Future Odds
Sample Newsletters / Stuff for Sale / Power Ratings / Polls & Surveys / Articles & Features
Sports Betting Forum / Handicapping Contests / Other Resources / Commentary / How to Contact Us