Logical Approach's 2011 NFL Power Ratings


Are You Ready For Some HOCKEY & BASKETBALL?

You Bet You Are!!!

It's time to "Lace 'em Up!" -- Click Here to learn why and how

hockey and basketball can be beaten and for subscription details for the balance of the 2011-2012 season



2011 NFL Linear Regression Power Ratings

FINAL OVERALL RATINGS --- Updated Through Sunday, February 5, 2012 -- Through NFL Week # 21 -- Through Super Bowl XLVI

Based on Game Results & Opponents Played

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1New Orleans111.31-1.35110.63111.98
2New England110.310.91110.76109.85
3Green Bay109.772.07110.81108.74
4San Francisco108.614.73110.98106.25
5Baltimore106.273.24107.89104.65
6Philadelphia105.530.84105.95105.11
7N Y Giants105.471.43106.18104.75
8Detroit104.912.83106.33103.50
9Houston104.794.56107.07102.51
10Pittsburgh104.230.85104.65103.80
11Dallas102.462.65103.79101.14
12Atlanta102.022.06103.05100.99
13Miami101.56-0.54101.29101.83
14N Y Jets101.511.77102.39100.62
15Chicago101.092.97102.5799.60
16Seattle101.046.35104.2297.87
17San Diego100.693.28102.3399.05
18Cincinnati99.380.6699.7199.05
19Tennessee98.672.87100.1097.23
20Carolina98.231.0498.7597.71
21Arizona98.092.2299.2096.98
22Buffalo97.160.2297.2797.05
23Washington96.750.2296.8696.64
24Oakland94.90-2.3193.7596.06
25Cleveland94.421.1795.0093.83
26Denver94.280.0394.3094.27
27Jacksonville94.052.9195.5092.59
28Minnesota93.713.2695.3492.08
29Kansas City91.651.7692.5390.77
30St Louis89.823.5891.6188.03
31Tampa Bay88.91-0.5688.6389.19
32Indianapolis88.422.4289.6387.21
NFL Average100.001.82100.9199.09

2011 NFL Average Line Played Against Power Ratings

FINAL RATINGS --- Updated Through Sunday, February 5, 2012 -- Through NFL Week # 21 -- Through Super Bowl XLVI

Based on ALPA -- Average Line Played Against

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1Green Bay108.152.07109.19107.12
2New England107.900.91108.36107.45
3New Orleans105.79-1.35105.11106.46
4Baltimore104.723.24106.34103.10
5Pittsburgh104.120.85104.55103.70
6Philadelphia103.860.84104.28103.44
7Dallas103.142.65104.47101.82
8N Y Jets103.021.77103.91102.14
9Detroit102.652.83104.06101.23
10San Diego102.413.28104.05100.77
11Atlanta102.262.06103.29101.23
12San Francisco102.114.73104.4799.74
13N Y Giants101.691.43102.41100.98
14Houston101.104.56103.3898.82
15Chicago99.882.97101.3798.40
16Tennessee99.672.87101.1098.23
17Miami98.71-0.5498.4498.98
18Buffalo98.680.2298.7998.57
19Oakland98.60-2.3197.4499.75
20Cincinnati98.340.6698.6798.01
21Carolina98.251.0498.7797.73
22Washington97.880.2297.9997.77
23Denver97.740.0397.7597.72
24Tampa Bay97.60-0.5697.3297.88
25Minnesota97.243.2698.8795.61
26Arizona96.662.2297.7795.55
27Seattle95.816.3598.9992.64
28Kansas City95.741.7696.6294.86
29Cleveland95.431.1796.0194.84
30Jacksonville94.532.9195.9993.08
31St Louis93.803.5895.5992.01
32Indianapolis92.522.4293.7391.31
NFL Average100.001.82100.9199.09


2011 NFL Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings

FINAL RATINGS --- Updated Through Sunday, February 5, 2012 - Through NFL Week # 21 -- Through Super Bowl XLVI

Based on ARVL -- Average Result Vs Line

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1San Francisco106.504.73108.87104.14
2New Orleans105.52-1.35104.84106.19
3Seattle105.236.35108.41102.06
4N Y Giants103.781.43104.49103.06
5Houston103.694.56105.97101.41
6Miami102.85-0.54102.58103.12
7New England102.400.91102.86101.95
8Detroit102.272.83103.68100.85
9Philadelphia101.670.84102.09101.25
10Green Bay101.622.07102.66100.59
11Baltimore101.553.24103.1799.93
12Arizona101.422.22102.53100.31
13Chicago101.202.97102.6999.72
14Cincinnati101.050.66101.38100.72
15Pittsburgh100.110.85100.5399.68
16Carolina99.981.04100.5099.46
17Atlanta99.762.06100.7998.73
18Jacksonville99.512.91100.9798.06
19Dallas99.322.65100.6497.99
20Tennessee99.002.87100.4497.57
21Cleveland98.991.1799.5898.41
22Washington98.870.2298.9898.76
23N Y Jets98.481.7799.3797.60
Buffalo98.480.2298.5998.37
25San Diego98.273.2899.9196.63
26Denver96.550.0396.5696.53
27Minnesota96.473.2698.1094.84
28Oakland96.31-2.3195.1597.46
29St Louis96.023.5897.8194.23
30Kansas City95.911.7696.7995.03
31Indianapolis95.902.4297.1194.69
32Tampa Bay91.31-0.5691.0391.59
NFL Average100.001.82100.9199.09




The above Linear Regression Power Ratings are based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.


The Average Line Played Against Power Ratings use a similar concept but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.



The Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings also use the concept described above but do so from the perspective of how a teams has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins be 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of overachievement and underachievement by each team.

Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road Rating.


HOME PAGE / Stats & Match-ups / Subscribers' Selections / Free Daily Selection / Future Odds
Sample Newsletters / Stuff for Sale / Power Ratings / Polls & Surveys / Articles & Features
Sports Betting Forum / Handicapping Contests / Other Resources / Commentary / How to Contact Us