2001 NFL Linear Regression Power
Ratings
CURRENT OVERALL RATINGS --- Updated Through Games of Sunday, January 27, 2002
| Rank | Team | Rating | HF | Home | Road |
| 1 | St Louis | 114.48 | -1.3 | 113.83 | 115.13 |
| 2 | Philadelphia | 109.63 | -1.6 | 108.83 | 110.43 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh | 107.29 | 1.2 | 107.89 | 106.69 |
| 4 | Chicago | 106.82 | 0.2 | 106.92 | 106.72 |
| 5 | San Francisco | 106.26 | 0.2 | 106.36 | 106.16 |
| 6 | Green Bay | 105.71 | 1.2 | 106.31 | 105.11 |
| 7 | New England | 104.95 | -1.0 | 104.45 | 105.45 |
| 8 | Oakland | 104.35 | 2.5 | 105.60 | 103.10 |
| 9 | Baltimore | 103.06 | -1.1 | 102.51 | 103.61 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 102.90 | 1.7 | 103.75 | 102.05 |
| 11 | Miami | 101.81 | 1.7 | 102.66 | 100.96 |
| 12 | Jacksonville | 100.62 | 1.1 | 101.17 | 100.07 |
| 13 | N Y Jets | 100.24 | 2.2 | 101.34 | 99.14 |
| 14 | San Diego | 100.14 | 0.5 | 100.39 | 99.89 |
| 15 | Denver | 99.83 | 3.5 | 101.58 | 98.08 |
| 16 | Kansas City | 99.20 | 7.3 | 102.85 | 95.55 |
| 17 | Cleveland | 99.01 | -5.8 | 96.11 | 101.91 |
| 18 | N Y Giants | 98.69 | -1.3 | 98.04 | 99.34 |
| 19 | Seattle | 98.45 | 4.1 | 100.50 | 96.40 |
| 20 | Tennessee | 97.60 | 0.8 | 98.00 | 97.20 |
| 21 | Washington | 96.70 | 2.1 | 97.75 | 95.65 |
| 22 | Cincinnati | 96.29 | 1.1 | 96.84 | 95.74 |
| 23 | Arizona | 96.24 | 5.2 | 98.84 | 93.64 |
| 24 | Indianapolis | 96.21 | 3.6 | 98.01 | 94.41 |
| 25 | Atlanta | 95.27 | 5.0 | 97.77 | 92.77 |
| 26 | New Orleans | 95.19 | -0.1 | 95.14 | 95.24 |
| 27 | Minnesota | 94.92 | 2.5 | 96.17 | 93.67 |
| 28 | Dallas | 94.38 | 2.4 | 95.58 | 93.18 |
| 29 | Detroit | 92.39 | 3.0 | 93.89 | 90.89 |
| 30 | Carolina | 91.02 | 3.3 | 92.67 | 89.37 |
| 31 | Buffalo | 90.35 | 4.0 | 92.35 | 88.35 |
| NFL Average | 100.00 | 1.6 | 100.78 | 99.22 |
2001 NFL Average Line Played Against Power
Ratings
CURRENT RATINGS --- Updated Through Games of Sunday, January 27, 2002
| Rank | Team | Rating | HF | Home | Road |
| 1 | St Louis | 110.31 | -1.3 | 109.66 | 110.96 |
| 2 | Oakland | 104.62 | 2.5 | 105.87 | 103.37 |
| 3 | Baltimore | 104.12 | -1.1 | 103.57 | 104.67 |
| 4 | Green Bay | 103.86 | 1.2 | 104.46 | 103.26 |
| 5 | Denver | 103.70 | 3.5 | 105.45 | 101.95 |
| 6 | Indianapolis | 103.04 | 3.6 | 104.84 | 101.24 |
| 7 | Miami | 102.82 | 1.7 | 103.67 | 101.97 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 102.61 | 1.2 | 103.21 | 102.01 |
| 9 | Philadelphia | 102.46 | -1.6 | 101.66 | 103.26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 102.39 | 1.7 | 103.24 | 101.54 |
| 11 | San Francisco | 102.19 | 0.2 | 102.29 | 102.09 |
| 12 | New Orleans | 101.82 | -0.1 | 101.77 | 101.87 |
| 13 | Tennessee | 101.20 | 0.8 | 101.60 | 100.80 |
| 14 | N Y Giants | 101.04 | -1.3 | 100.39 | 101.69 |
| 15 | N Y Jets | 100.77 | 2.2 | 101.87 | 99.67 |
| 16 | Jacksonville | 99.77 | 1.1 | 100.32 | 99.22 |
| 17 | Chicago | 99.48 | 0.2 | 99.58 | 99.38 |
| 18 | San Diego | 99.45 | 0.5 | 99.70 | 99.20 |
| 19 | Minnesota | 99.38 | 2.5 | 100.63 | 98.13 |
| 20 | Kansas City | 98.77 | 7.3 | 102.42 | 95.12 |
| 21 | Seattle | 98.55 | 4.1 | 100.60 | 96.50 |
| 22 | New England | 98.51 | -1.0 | 98.01 | 99.01 |
| 23 | Atlanta | 98.13 | 5.0 | 100.63 | 95.63 |
| 24 | Cleveland | 96.44 | -5.8 | 93.54 | 99.34 |
| 25 | Cincinnati | 96.42 | 1.1 | 96.97 | 95.87 |
| 26 | Buffalo | 95.62 | 4.0 | 97.62 | 93.62 |
| 27 | Washington | 95.26 | 2.1 | 96.31 | 94.21 |
| 28 | Detroit | 94.94 | 3.0 | 96.44 | 93.44 |
| 29 | Carolina | 94.71 | 3.3 | 96.36 | 93.06 |
| 30 | Arizona | 94.25 | 5.2 | 96.85 | 91.65 |
| 31 | Dallas | 93.37 | 2.4 | 94.57 | 92.17 |
| NFL Average | 100.00 | 1.6 | 100.78 | 99.22 |
2001 NFL Average Result Versus Line Power
Ratings
CURRENT RATINGS --- Updated Through Games of Sunday, January 27, 2002
| Rank | Team | Rating | HF | Home | Road |
| 1 | Chicago | 107.34 | 0.2 | 107.44 | 107.24 |
| 2 | Philadelphia | 107.17 | -1.6 | 106.37 | 107.97 |
| 3 | New England | 106.44 | -1.0 | 105.94 | 106.94 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh | 104.68 | 1.2 | 105.28 | 104.08 |
| 5 | St Louis | 104.18 | -1.3 | 103.53 | 104.83 |
| 6 | San Francisco | 104.07 | 0.2 | 104.17 | 103.97 |
| 7 | Cleveland | 102.57 | -5.8 | 99.67 | 105.47 |
| 8 | Arizona | 101.98 | 5.2 | 104.58 | 99.38 |
| 9 | Green Bay | 101.85 | 1.2 | 102.45 | 101.25 |
| 10 | Washington | 101.45 | 2.1 | 102.50 | 100.40 |
| 11 | Dallas | 101.01 | 2.4 | 102.21 | 99.81 |
| 12 | Jacksonville | 100.86 | 1.1 | 101.41 | 100.31 |
| 13 | San Diego | 100.69 | 0.5 | 100.94 | 100.44 |
| 14 | Tampa Bay | 100.51 | 1.7 | 101.36 | 99.66 |
| 15 | Kansas City | 100.43 | 7.3 | 104.08 | 96.78 |
| 16 | Seattle | 99.90 | 4.1 | 101.95 | 97.85 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 99.86 | 1.1 | 100.41 | 99.31 |
| 18 | Oakland | 99.73 | 2.5 | 100.98 | 98.48 |
| 19 | N Y Jets | 99.47 | 2.2 | 100.57 | 98.37 |
| 20 | Miami | 99.00 | 1.7 | 99.85 | 98.15 |
| 21 | Baltimore | 98.94 | -1.1 | 98.39 | 99.49 |
| 22 | N Y Giants | 97.65 | -1.3 | 97.00 | 98.30 |
| 23 | Detroit | 97.45 | 3.0 | 98.95 | 95.95 |
| 24 | Atlanta | 97.15 | 5.0 | 99.65 | 94.65 |
| 25 | Tennessee | 96.40 | 0.8 | 96.80 | 96.00 |
| 26 | Carolina | 96.31 | 3.3 | 97.96 | 94.66 |
| 27 | Denver | 96.13 | 3.5 | 97.88 | 94.38 |
| 28 | Minnesota | 95.54 | 2.5 | 96.79 | 94.29 |
| 29 | Buffalo | 94.73 | 4.0 | 96.73 | 92.73 |
| 30 | New Orleans | 93.37 | -0.1 | 93.32 | 93.42 |
| 31 | Indianapolis | 93.17 | 3.6 | 94.97 | 91.37 |
| NFL Average | 100.00 | 1.6 | 100.78 | 99.22 |
The
above Linear Regression Power Ratings are based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored
and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings
reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7,
and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better
is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams
based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as
the season progresses.
The Average Line Played Against Power
Ratings use a similar concept but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers
in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating.
These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views
each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon
the lines that have been madein prior games.
The Average Result Versus
Line Power Ratings also use the concept described above but do so from the perspective
of how a teams has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that
is favored by 7 points and wins be 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while
their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins
the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent
has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of overachievement
and underachievement by each team.
Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road Rating.