2000 NFL Linear Regression Power Ratings

FINAL OVERALL RATINGS --- Updated Through Super Bowl XXXV

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1Baltimore111.970.0111.97111.97
2Oakland110.16-0.3110.01110.31
3Tennessee108.980.8109.38108.58
4Indianapolis106.811.1107.36106.26
5Miami105.681.6106.48104.88
6Tampa Bay105.390.0105.39105.39
7Pittsburgh105.161.4105.86104.46
8N Y Giants104.630.5104.88104.38
9Philadelphia104.29-0.1104.24104.34
10Denver104.241.5104.99103.49
11N Y Jets103.051.4103.75102.35
12St Louis102.37-0.6102.07102.67
13Jacksonville102.340.3102.49102.19
14Washington101.801.0102.30101.30
15Green Bay101.661.2102.26101.06
16Detroit100.603.1102.1599.05
17Kansas City100.283.0101.7898.78
18Minnesota99.980.6100.2899.68
19New Orleans99.85-0.799.50100.20
20Buffalo99.151.199.7098.60
21Carolina98.492.299.5997.39
22New England96.75-0.596.5097.00
23Dallas96.201.596.9595.45
24Seattle95.861.496.5695.16
25San Francisco95.78-0.795.4396.13
26Chicago92.910.092.9192.91
27San Diego91.780.091.7891.78
28Atlanta91.092.492.2989.89
29Cincinnati90.550.590.8090.30
30Cleveland86.600.086.6086.60
31Arizona85.602.386.7584.45
NFL Average100.000.8100.4299.58

2000 NFL Average Line Played Against Power Ratings

FINAL RATINGS --- Updated Through Super Bowl XXXV

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1St Louis107.77-0.6107.47108.07
2Tennessee106.160.8106.56105.76
3Indianapolis104.801.1105.35104.25
4Washington104.581.0105.08104.08
5Minnesota104.060.6104.36103.76
6Tampa Bay104.000.0104.00104.00
7Baltimore103.990.0103.99103.99
8Oakland103.57-0.3103.42103.72
9Denver102.771.5103.52102.02
10Jacksonville102.640.3102.79102.49
11N Y Giants101.810.5102.06101.56
12Buffalo101.711.1102.26101.16
13Miami101.271.6102.07100.47
14N Y Jets101.201.4101.90100.50
15Kansas City100.493.0101.9998.99
16Green Bay99.541.2100.1498.94
17Philadelphia99.53-0.199.4899.58
18Pittsburgh99.381.4100.0898.68
19Detroit99.323.1100.8797.77
20New England98.91-0.598.6699.16
21New Orleans98.44-0.798.0998.79
22Carolina98.272.299.3797.17
23Seattle97.691.498.3996.99
24Dallas97.241.597.9996.49
25Chicago96.770.096.7796.77
26San Francisco96.57-0.796.2296.92
27Atlanta95.422.496.6294.22
28San Diego94.810.094.8194.81
29Arizona93.552.394.7092.40
30Cincinnati93.280.593.5393.03
31Cleveland90.440.090.4490.44
NFL Average100.000.8100.4299.58

2000 NFL Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings

FINAL RATINGS --- Updated Through Super Bowl XXXV

RankTeamRatingHFHomeRoad
1Baltimore107.980.0107.98107.98
2Oakland106.58-0.3106.43106.73
3Pittsburgh105.791.4106.49105.09
4Philadelphia104.76-0.1104.71104.81
5Miami104.421.6105.22103.62
6N Y Giants102.830.5103.08102.58
7Tennessee102.810.8103.21102.41
8Green Bay102.121.2102.72101.52
9Indianapolis102.011.1102.56101.46
10N Y Jets101.851.4102.55101.15
11Denver101.471.5102.22100.72
12New Orleans101.41-0.7101.06101.76
13Tampa Bay101.390.0101.39101.39
14Detroit101.273.1102.8299.72
15Carolina100.222.2101.3299.12
16Kansas City99.793.0101.2998.29
17Jacksonville99.700.399.8599.55
18San Francisco99.21-0.798.8699.56
19Dallas98.951.599.7098.20
20Seattle98.161.498.8697.46
21New England97.84-0.597.5998.09
22Buffalo97.441.197.9996.89
23Cincinnati97.270.597.5297.02
24Washington97.211.097.7196.71
25San Diego96.970.096.9796.97
26Cleveland96.160.096.1696.16
27Chicago96.140.096.1496.14
28Minnesota95.920.696.2295.62
29Atlanta95.662.496.8694.46
30St Louis94.60-0.694.3094.90
31Arizona92.052.393.2090.90
NFL Average100.000.8100.4299.58



The above Linear Regression Power Ratings are based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.


The Average Line Played Against Power Ratings use a similar concept but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.



The Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings also use the concept described above but do so from the perspective of how a teams has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins be 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of overachievement and underachievement by each team.

Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road Rating.


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